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Where to be born in 2013
Warren Buffett, probably the world’s most successful investor, has said that anything good that happened to him could be traced back to the fact that he was born in the right country, the United States, at the right time (1930). A quarter of a century ago, when The World in 1988 lightheartedly ranked 50 countries according to where would be the best place to be born in 1988, America indeed came top. But which country will be the best for a baby born in 2013?
To answer this, the Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU), a sister company of The Economist, has this time turned deadly serious. It earnestly attempts to measure which country will provide the best opportunities for a healthy, safe and prosperous life in the years ahead. Its quality-of-
life index links the results of subjective life-satisfaction surveys—how happy people say they are—to objective determinants of the quality of life across countries. Being rich helps more than anything else, but it is not all that counts; things like crime, trust in public institutions and the health of family life matter too. In all, the index takes 11 statistically significant indicators into account.
What does all this, and likely developments in the years to come, mean for where a baby might be luckiest to be born in 2013? After crunching its numbers, the EIU has Switzerland comfortably in the top spot, with Australia second. Small economies dominate the top ten. Half of these are European, but only one, the Netherlands, is from the euro zone. The Nordic countries shine, whereas the crisis-ridden south of Europe (Greece, Portugal and Spain) lags behind despite the advantage of a favourable climate. The largest European economies (Germany, France and Britain) do not do particularly well.
America, where babies will inherit the large debts of the boomer generation, languishes back in 16th place. Despite their economic dynamism, none of the BRIC countries (Brazil, Russia, India and China) scores impressively. Among the 80 countries covered, Nigeria comes last: it is the worst place for a baby to enter the world in 2013.
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Com relação à teoria da Probabilidade, pode-se afirmar que:
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Nos últimos dez anos, o Brasil passou por grandes transformações e crescimento econômico contínuo que o induziu a figurar entre os países(a) em desenvolvimento acelerado. Com a expansão formou-se uma nova classe(b) média, composta por trabalhadores vindos das classes D e E. Atualmente o país possui 105 milhões de pessoas com renda mensal entre R$ 1.700 e R$ 7.400 e a tendência é que esses números cresçam(c) nos próximos anos. Em uma entrevista à revista PLANETA, o economista Marcelo Neri analisa o impacto da nova classe média no consumo, no ambiente e na sociedade e mostra os desafios à frente dos brasileiros.
[...]
PLANETA – O fenômeno é passageiro?
NERI – Não, a nova classe média veio para ficar. O crescimento é contínuo, apesar das crises financeiras(d). Planos assistenciais e o aumento do crédito ao consumidor contribuíram. Mas o principal é que o número de trabalhadores(e) que saíram da informalidade e passaram a ter carteira assinada dobrou desde 2004.
(Adaptado de Milton Correia Júnior, Cigarras e formigas. PLANETA, agosto de 2012.)
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Recruiters eye Brics to build business
Brazil’s dream of shedding its middle-income status is over, some Bric observers have said. But to UK recruitment agencies, the South American powerhouse still offers something that is much harder to find close to home – huge growth potential. Although Brazil’s gross domestic product is estimated to have notched up less than 1 per cent growth in 2012, UK recruitment groups are still opening offices there and expanding deeper into the region.
“You will get these hiccups along the way,” says Steve Ingham, chief executive of recruitment agency PageGroup (formerly Michael Page International). “The economy won’t always be as strong, but we will continue to invest through the cycle such that our endgame is to have a lot more offices and a lot more people in [Latin America].”
His company was one of the fi rst big UK recruiters to enter the region, about 13 years ago. There are now more than a dozen offices and about 600 staff in Latin America operating under PageGroup. Almost 10 per cent of PageGroup’s business is generated in the region but Mr Ingham “easily imagines” that rising to a fifth in the near future. “Our expectations are enormous,” he says, highlighting the potential beyond Brazil, in countries such as Mexico and Chile. “We’re not just depending on Brazil [to generate fees] any more.”
Other recruiters have followed suit, as part of their expansion away from the saturated UK market to faster-growing economies in Asia and beyond. Hays recently opened offices in Colombia and Chile, and Brazil is already the sixth-largest country in the group, based on net fees.
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Nuestro segundo socio comercial, EE.UU, tiene una cuota de 17% del intercambio chileno, con US$26.455 millones. También, representa el tercer comprador de cobre, con US$3.553 millones, aunque es el primero si se trata de frutas o salmón. De los envíos por US$4.235 millones de fruta, el mercado estadounidense se queda con el 33,8%, implicando US$1.431 millones. Asimismo, de los US$1.985 millones exportados en salmón, el 36% se dirige a la nación norteamericana, totalizando US$717 millones. Es interesante constatar que Países Bajos es el segundo comprador de celulosa y papel, al registrar US$301 millones y una participación de 9,1% en los envíos.
Según el texto, el intercambio comercial entre China y Chile:
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In the World Economy, the Ditch Is Never Far Away
WHEN you see a car being driven firmly within its lane and well under the speed limit, there’s nothing to worry about. Or is there? If you’re David A. Rosenberg, the glass-halfempty economist, there most certainly is. He says the world economy is like that car. And where others see stability and recovery, he sees “a car being driven by a drunk, lurching from side to side on the road, narrowly avoiding the ditches each time.”
At this particular moment, he says, the car happens to be in the middle of the road. But he can’t help but ask, “Is that because the driver has sobered up, or is it because the car is just passing through the middle on its way to the ditch on the other side?” Mr. Rosenberg isn’t certain of the answer. But despite the cheer pervading the stock market and the relatively upbeat perspective of most economists, he says he isn’t convinced that the car will remain safely out of those ditches.
Formerly the chief North American economist at Merrill Lynch, and now proudly back in his native Canada as chief economist and strategist at Gluskin Sheff in Toronto, Mr. Rosenberg writes a market newsletter that is always provocative, often cantankerous and frequently out of step with the Wall Street consensus. “I’d say I’m as pragmatic as possible and not locked into one position,” he says, “but I do understand that I have a much better record forecasting rain than in predicting the return of sunshine.”
The sentence that best sums up the main idea in the passage is:
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A questão toma por base o seguinte texto.
A entidade estatal, para atender às suas finalidades, necessita de dinheiro. O ingresso deste nos cofres públicos caracteriza o que se denomina de entrada, contudo esta não corresponde obrigatoriamente à receita pública.
De fato, algumas entradas(a) provisórias devem ser(a), oportunamente, devolvidas, a exemplo das cauções, das fianças, dos depósitos recolhidos ao Tesouro etc. Já a receita pública é a entrada(b) que, integrando-se(b) no patrimônio público sem quaisquer reservas, condições ou correspondência no passivo, vem acrescer o seu vulto, como elemento novo e positivo. A entrada, destarte, é o gênero de que a receita(c) pública é uma espécie. As receitas originárias resultam da atuação do Estado na exploração de atividade econômica, como uma empresa privada na busca do lucro. Embora o exercício de tal atividade ocorra sob o regime de direito privado, não há um total afastamento(d) das normas de direito público. Na verdade, as empresas estatais não podem deixar de observar, no que a elas(e) se aplicar, os princípios gerais da atividade econômica que estão dispostos no Capítulo I do Título VII da Constituição Federal.
(Adaptado de Lucas Clemente de Brito Pereira http://jus.com.br/revista/texto/10256/nocoes-gerais-acerca-das-financaspublicas, acesso em 25/01/2013)
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